在线询价

本篇文章给大家谈谈美国海运指数,以及美国海运指数暴涨27%对应的知识点,希望对各位有所帮助,不要忘了收藏本站喔。

美国海运指数 美国海运指数暴涨27%

波罗的海bdi指数是多少?

波罗的海bdi指数是波动的,没有具体数据。

bdi指数是全球经济的缩影。全球经济过热期间,初级商品市场的需求增加,bdi指数也相应上涨。

bdi指数相对客观。bdi指数不存在短线资金炒作的问题,如果短线资金进入大宗商品市场炒作,但同期bdi指数不涨的话,则大宗商品市场高企的价格就值得警惕。

bdi指数与初级商品市场的价格正相关。也就是说,如果煤炭、有色金属、铁矿石等价格上涨,bdi指数一般也是要涨的。

bdi指数与美元指数正相关。美元走强一般反映了美国经济向好,由于美国经济在全球经济总量中占比较大,bdi指数与其正相关。

bdi指数与美国股市走势正相关。理由与美元指数相同。

bdi(波罗的海干散货指数)其实是一个航运指数,由几条主要航线的即期运费加权而成,可以看作是散装原材料的运费指数,也是反映国际间贸易状况的参考指标。可以简单地理解为散装原材料的运费指数。由于散装船运以运输钢材、纸浆、煤、磷矿石等关系到工业与民生的原材料为主,因此,bdi与全球经济可谓息息相关。一直以来,bdi与全球商品期货价格主导指数CRB都是大宗商品市场景气程度最为重要的两大指标。而在全球经济低迷的大背景下,bdi被赋予更多的意义——由于政府和中央银行不能使用货币或财政政策左右bdi指数走势,因此它展现的是全球经济的真实状态,因而也被称为全球经济的风向标而被越来越多的投资者所重视。

波罗的海交易所将原来反映巴拿马型船和好望角型船的BFI指数分解成BCI指数和BPI指数两个指数,并在BCI指数、BPI指数、BHI指数基础上产生的bdi取代BFI。'bdi指数代表国际干散货运输市场走势的晴雨表。是世界上衡量国际海运情况的权威指数,是反映国际间贸易情况的领先指数。bdi的指数计算方法是将BPI、BCI和BHI指数相加,取平均数,然后乘以一个固定的换算系数0.998007990得出的。

远洋运输一般分为集装箱运输、干散货运输(DryBulkShipping)、油轮运输三种形式。其中集装箱运输主要用于下游制成品的运输,如汽车、电子产品、纺织品等,单位是TEU(标准箱);干散货运输主要适用于铁矿石、煤炭、粮食、水泥等上游初级产品的运输,单位为吨;油轮运输则主要适用于原油、液化天然气等。

由于干散货航运主要体现的是全球初级产品的需求,因此是经济的领先指标,具有毛利高、价格波动大的特点。而集装箱航运则主要和中下游产品相关,并不能很好地反映宏观需求,更不是什么领先指标,其运价波动也要平缓的多。

拓展资料

bdi指数的组成

1、BCI指数(BalticCapesizeIndex),波罗的海海岬型指数,吨位:8万吨以上,主要运输货物:焦煤、燃煤、铁矿砂、磷矿石、铝矾土等工业原料,占bdi权重:1/3;

2、BPI指数(BalticPanamaxIndex),波罗的海巴拿马指数,吨位:5~8万吨,主要运输货物:民生物资及谷物等大宗物资,占bdi权重:1/3;

3、BHMI指数(BalticHandymaxIndex),波罗的海轻便型指数,吨位:5万吨以下,主要运输货物:磷肥、碳酸钾、木屑、水泥,占bdi权重:1/3。

波罗的海海运指数BDI的历史数据

这个网址具有详细的BDI的各类信息,是免费的不过就是英文界面

Baltic Exchange Dry Index (BDI),

4/22/08 Queues at the Panama Canal are becoming longer. About 90 ships are waiting to get through the Canal, doubling transit times to a record 53 hours from the usual 27 to 30 hours.

4/2/08 Weak dollar boosts Long Beach (CA) exports 36%, but cuts imports 7.6% in February.

2/4/08 China is building an enormous logistics facility covering nearly 70 hectares for the newly-launched Sino-Germany Container Railway. It is predicted that the volume of Germany-bound boxes on this railway will reach 20,000 to 26,000 TEU by 2010 while Beijing-bound boxes will be about 10,000 TEU.

1/11/08 Baltic dry sea freight index makes record fall Dry commodities trading analysts have so far attributed the steep pullback from the all-time high hit last November to a correction at the top of a white-hot market and an expected seasonal downturn in shipments in the first quarter.

12/19/07 Shangyu port is planning new terminals with total annual capacity of 10 million tons. Capacity of the new port will be 40 times larger than the present Shangyu facility, which can accommodate 3,000-tonne vessels and handle 245,000 tons of cargo a year, Xinhua reported.

12/11/07 Rongcheng’s cargo volume for foreign trade grew 78% YoY

12/6/07 YoY Oct. traffic at major US container ports fell 3.5%.

12/5/07 Shipping chief warns of ‘insane’ charter rates

One of the biggest operators in the booming dry bulk shipping market has warned that conditions where charter rates for ships have nearly tripled in a year, were “insane” and “unsustainable”.

9/4/07 Panama begins canal expansion: The $5.25-billion expansion will accommodate a new class of huge ships capable of carrying more than twice the number of containers as the vessels that currently transit the waterway. Completion is set for 2014 to coincide with the 100th anniversary of the inauguration of the original canal.

6/26/07 Shares of COSCO, Asia's largest container line, as much as doubled Tuesday on their Shanghai trading debut.

5/25/07 YoY goods shipped by truck in the U.S. fell by 2.7 percent in April.

Container volumes on the Asia — Europe trade rose 20% in the first four months of the year.

5/22/07 The handling capacity of China's ports is expected to hit 8 billion tons and 170 million TEUs (twenty-foot container equivalent units) in 2010. The cargo handling capacity of all China's ports totaled 5.6 billion tons and 93 million TEUs in 2006.

4/30/07 China Shipbuilders, Rivaling U.S. in WWII, to Cut Freight Costs April 30 (Bloomberg) -- The cost of shipping coal and iron- ore is about to decline as the supply of cargo vessels overwhelms demand. Japan, China and South Korea will produce so many vessels that shipping costs, now at an all-time high, will fall 40 percent by 2010, according to futures contracts traded privately between banks, transportation companies and hedge funds.

1/16/07 YoY November air cargo shipments rose 2.9% , the Air Transport Association said.

12/28/06 American Trucking Associations’ seasonally adjusted truck tonnage index dropped 3.6% in November, following its 1.9% drop in October.

12/12/06 The number of trucks in use in the U.S. is down 0.6% in the third quarter, a sign expanding hauling capacity by carriers may have peaked.

8/22/06 Hong Kong's port transshipment cargo recorded an average annual growth rate of 12% from 2000 to 2005, the Census Statistics Department says.

8/15/06 China's ports post 22 % growth According to a Xinhua report, during first half of 2006, China's major sea and river ports together handled over 42 million TEUs posting a growth of more than 22 percent.

6/23/06 Panama's Congress will debate next week whether to push ahead with an ambitious and costly plan to expand its canal.

4/3/06 The tiny biodiesel industry received a boost from Big Oil on Monday when a major petroleum refiner, Motiva Enterprises LLC, began blending the soy-based alternative with traditional motor fuel at a Dallas terminal

2/17/06 Class 8 truck orders in North America are off to a roaring start in 2006, with January’s total reaching an all-time monthly high of 43,100 units.

2/15/06 Overall air cargo shipments rose 1.3% in December from a year earlier, but domestic shipments dipped, the Air Transport Association reported.

1/19/06 Shipping Rates for Coal, Ore Fall to Five-Month Low on Supply

The cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore and coal fell to its lowest in more than five months because of a buildup of vessels available for hire in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.

12/27/05 Overall for-hire trucking freight volumes surged 1.9% in November from a month earlier, American Trucking Associations said Tuesday.

12/20/05 The average retail prices of diesel and gasoline each rose for a second straight week by 2.6 cents, with diesel climbing to $2.462 and gasoline to $2.211 a gallon, the Department of Energy reported.

U.S. Sales of Class 8 trucks jumped 16.6% in November as truck buyers took delivery in a market where freight rates remained strong and truck production showed no signs of letting up, manufacturers said.

11/30/05 Overall for-hire trucking freight volumes rose 0.3% in October from a month earlier, the American Trucking Associations said.

11/27/05 Shipping lines raise charges by 12pc: Effective Dec 1, 2005

Justifying the move, the ‘notice to trade” points out that all member lines are facing considerable increases in charter rates that continue rising dramatically. It also attributes the hike to a worldwide shortage of container equipment.

11/20/05 Global shipping: Challenges ahead As on January 1, 2005, the world trading fleet was made up of 46,222 ships, with a combined 597,709,000 gross tonnes. The vast bulk of the fleet was made up of: general cargo ships (18,150), tankers (11,356), bulk carriers (6,139), passenger ships (5,679) and container ships (3,165). Other ship types accounted for 1,733 vessels.

11/18/05 The United States and the European Union reached a tentative deal on Friday expand aviation service and boost competition on both sides of the Atlantic

11/15/05 The average U.S. retail price of diesel fuel fell for a third straight week, dropping 9.6 cents to $2.602 a gallon, the Department of Energy.

The Panama Canal Authority’s largest customers are forecasting a 12% increase in traffic between Asia and the US east coast in 2006 as trade between the US and China shows no sign of slowing.

10/28/05 Surface trade amid the United States, Canada and Mexico rose 12.3% in August from a year earlier to a total of $60.2 billion, the highest monthly level ever recorded, the Department of Transportation reported Thursday.

10/27/05 U.S. monthly retail sales of Class 8 trucks rose by 16.3% over last September’s level to 21,677 units, YoY the 23rd straight monthly increase.

10/13/05 A Crisis could be threatening for world shipbuilders investment banker Morgan Stanley warned that overcapacity in the industry could be as much as 30% by 2008.

10/06/05 Domestic air cargo shipments rebounded from a 5% drop in July to climb 0.6% in August in year-over-year comparisons, the Air Transport Association reported Thursday.

09/13/05 The cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore, coal and crude oil is poised to rise through the rest of this year as Chinese steel mills and refineries increase imports, according to shipbroker Lorentzen Stemoco said, Bloomberg reports .

09/12/05 The container throughput of the Shanghai Port increased by 27 percent year-on-year

08/30/05 Surface trade among the U.S., Canada and Mexico rose 7.2% in June to $59.4 billion from a year earlier, the Department of Transportation reported.

08/29/05 With the peak shipping season in full force, intermodal container traffic for the week ended Aug. 20 was the highest week ever on record, the Association of American Railroads said.

08/22/05 Boom and bust at sea

08/16/05 Port of Long Beach: Junes Asian imports at the second-largest port in the U.S. pushed overall volume to 576,604 TEUs from 494,098 TEUs a year earlier, according to the port's preliminary data.

08/01/05 Ocean freight continued weak, taking gulf to Japan back to $34 a ton, which is the lowest rate in almost 30 months.

07/26/05 The average retail price of diesel fuel fell for a second straight week, dropping 5 cents to $2.342 a gallon, the Department of Energy said Monday.

07/26/05 U.S. sales of Class 8 trucks jumped 38.2% in June from year-ago levels, and reached their highest monthly total since December 1999, as fleets’ buying spree continued.

06/22/05 The long-haul, heavy-duty truck transportation industry in the United States is experiencing a national shortage of 20,000 truck drivers, the American Trucking Associations reported

06/22/05 COSCO, China's biggest shipping conglomerate has found hesitant interest by retail investors in its $1.65 billion IPO on worries that the global shipping boom has peaked.

06/20/05 he Singapore Exchange has confirmed plans to develop a clearing house for freight and energy derivatives as the country looks to capture more of the growing Asian market.

06/20/05 US rail carloads totaling 332,491 units decreased 2.2 percent the week of June compared to the same week in 2004.

06/20/05 Despite ongoing demand running ahead of capacity faltering Charter rates and new ship prices could be a sign that the three-year rally in box shipping is leveling off.

06/12/05 Ocean-freight rates fall as global demand slows for some commodities Surging demand and a shortage of ships pushed freight rates to record highs in December. But since then, the Baltic Dry Index,..., has fallen by more than half,....

06/08/05 Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) carried 2.63 million worldwide guests in the first quarter of 2005, an 8.9 percent increase over the same period in 2004. North American passengers grew by 12.9 percent during the quarter to 2.34 million guests, up from 2.10 million first-quarter guests one year ago.

06/08/05 Shares of a handful of major truckload firms fell Wednesday after analysts from the firm Bear Stearns Co. lowered ratings on several trucking stocks, citing a slowing business environment, falling demand and higher costs, the Associated Press reported.

06/07/05 Total air cargo shipments rose 0.3% in April compared with a year earlier, following a 3.1% year-over-year drop in March, the Air Transport Association reported.

06/01/05 Growth in the world’s tanker fleets is outstripping demand, forcing charter rates down to new lows and putting pressure on shipping company share prices – Lloyd’s List reports.

05/26/05 YoY New York Customs District saw overall air-cargo tonnage increase 1.67 percent in March.

05/12/05 Bullish outlook for FedEx ..FedEx reiterated that it expects profit to range between $1.40 per share to $1.50 per share for the fiscal fourth quarter ending May 31.

05/09/05 Amid rising gas prices, makers warm to diesel cars Diesels use 20 percent to 40 percent less fuel than comparable gasoline engines. And diesel fuel coming to market starting this year will have lower sulfur content, reducing emissions dramatically.

05/09/05 Total air cargo shipments rose 3.1% in March compared with a year earlier, following a 1.3% year-over-year drop in February, the Air Transport Association reported.

05/05/05 The tanker market is likely to be the first shipping sector to suffer an oversupply of tonnage, leading to earnings declines for the next three years, Citigroup Smith Barney tanker analyst John Kartsonas has warned.

05/05/05 International trade through the Los Angeles region will grow by more than 14% this year to a record $302.1 billion, according to an economic study released Wednesday, the Associated Press reported.

05/04/05 Transport costs between Richards Bay, which has the world's largest coal export terminal, and Rotterdam dropped 7.2 percent last week to $18.62 (R114) a ton.

美国海运指数 美国海运指数暴涨27%

04/27/05 Overall trucking freight volumes fell 3.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis to 111.6 in March, according to an American Trucking Associations index released Wednesday.

04/26/05 Rates for very large crude carriers have peaked and are unlikely to match the euphoric highs seen last year, says Helmut Sohmen, owner of World-Wide Shipping.

04/26/05 China has announced further container terminal expansion by giving the go-ahead for a 2.5m teu facility at Shenzhen, the world’s fourth largest box port city.

04/22/05 During week of April 16th Tonnage Volume for US railroads reached 33.3 billion ton-miles, up 4.7 percent from the same week in 2004.

04/22/05 Earnings for Suezmax tankers in November reached a record of more than US$150,000 a day as global oil consumption grew faster than ship supply.

04/13/05 Overall trucking freight volumes fell 2.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis to 115.5 in February, according to an updated American Trucking Associations index released Tuesday.

04/08/05 Shipping industry faces shortages The problem now is that shipowners will have to wait until 2008 to get any delivered with the South Korean shipyards already full with orders

03/04/05 U.S. wholesale prices for heavy motor trucks jumped 1.6% in January, marking their largest monthly increase in more than five years, as equipment makers continued to pass along higher costs for raw materials, including steel, aluminum, wood and rubber

03/03/05 The Panama Canal is nearing full capacity and should seriously consider expansion to continue to be a major player in world trade, experts and users said.

03/02/05 India hikes rail freight to curb iron-ore exports China sourced more than 5 million tonnes of ore from India in January, a 46 percent increase on last year. India is China's second largest exporter of ore after Australia, according to official custom's figures.

ATA Truck Tonnage Index Surged to Record High in January.“January proved to be a strong month for truck tonnage” said ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello. “Growing manufacturing production continues to be the driver of truck freight. And, we have seen big gains in heavy commodity movements, like steel, which is another reason why tonnage is growing at a solid pace.” he said.

02/24/05 From the JoC comes news that there is no let-up for West Coast ports. January began the year the way 2004 ended: with double-digit growth in containerized imports from Asia.

02/17/05 THE government of Panama has approved a new charging structure for containerships and has given the go ahead for big increases in charge, to be phased in on over three years, despite strong opposition from owners.

02/16/05 HUTCHISON Whampoa Ltd, Cosco Pacific Ltd and other operators of Hong Kong's port handled 7.8 per cent more containers in January as shipments of Chinese-made goods to US, Europe and Japan increased.

02/16/05 THE price paid for ships to be scrapped for steel rose 5 per cent to a record last week in Bangladesh, the world's largest ship-breaking market, as buyers competed for oil tankers to wreck.

02/08/05 The national average price of diesel fuel fell 0.9 cent to $1.983 a gallon, the US Department of Energy said Monday.

01/26/05 Liang Hong, an economist with Goldman Sachs in Hong Kong, said that the government had expanded the capacity of many ports by 30 percent to 60 percent within months, a task that would take years in practically any other country. China also increased electrical output 14 percent last year alone.

01/25/05 Shipping lines are expecting the trade between Asia and the US to register double-digit growth after a bumper 2004.

海运企业盈亏平衡点对应的BDI指数是多少?

前集运市场货量急剧下降,运费受此影响,急剧下跌。中国国际海运网就中国八大口岸近三个月的运费情况,选取欧洲、北美、中东三大航线作为样本,统计结果显示,三大主要航线的运费都处于下跌趋势。

一、欧洲航线

据中国国际海运网金牌订舱数据统计,跌幅最大的是欧洲航线,以20'集装箱为例,天津、大连、青岛、上海、宁波、深圳、厦门、广州这八大口岸到安特卫普港的运价,10月份的运价与8月份相比,平均跌幅高达30.8%。

八大口岸运价均大幅下跌,深圳跌幅最大,运价由8月份的450美元跌至10月份的200美元,跌幅竟达55.6%;其次是上海,运价由8月份的600美元跌至10月份的350美元,跌幅也超过了一半,达53.3%;跌幅最小的是被两岸直航炒的火热的厦门,不过也在10%以上,跌幅为17.4%。由此可见,中欧贸易已进入非常萧条时期,欧洲人正捂紧钱袋,守住自己冬眠的衣食。

欧洲航线-安特卫普港(单位:美元)

8月 9月 10月

天津 1,400 1,150 1,000

大连 1,400 1,300 1,080

青岛 1,450 1,230 950

上海 600 350 280

宁波 600 380 400

深圳 450 350 200

厦门 1,150 1,350 950

广州 550 450 400

数据来源:中国国际海运网金牌订舱

二、中东航线

其次是中东航线,八大口岸到迪拜港的平均跌幅为13.4%,火热的中东贸易也抵不住金融风暴的寒凉。

八大口岸运价均有所下跌,青岛跌幅最大,运价由8月份的1100美元跌至10月份的850美元,跌幅竟达22.7%;其次是宁波,运价由8月份的800美元跌至10月份的650美元,跌幅达18.8%;跌幅最小的是北京的门户——天津,跌幅只有4.3%。

东-迪拜港(单位:美元)

8月 9月 10月

天津 1,150 1,150 1,100

大连 1,150 1,100 1,050

青岛 1,100 900 850

上海 850 750 700

宁波 800 700 650

深圳 750 700 650

厦门 800 700 700

广州 850 1,000 750

三、北美航线

北美航线,这条历来最受关注的航线,以10.5%的跌幅,刮出这个冬天的第一场寒风。

其中,除天津港起伏不定,运价从8月份的1600美元降至9月份的1550美元,而10月份略涨至1650美元外,其他港口均连续两个月下跌,跌幅均在15%左右,未来情况无法预测,前景不容乐观。

8月 9月 10月

天津 1,600 1,550 1,650

大连 1,600 1,550 1,450

青岛 1,650 1,600 1,450

上海 1,600 1,550 1,450

宁波 1,550 1,500 1,350

深圳 1,600 1,550 1,350

厦门 1,650 1,550 1,400

广州 1,650 1,550 1,450

干散货市场,跌至六年来最低

10月16日,波罗的海干散货综合运费指数(BDI)再下挫109点,跌幅为6.7%,在1500点关口位徘徊,报1506点,是2002年11月26日以来新低。

根据行业普遍观点,目前航运行业的盈亏平衡点大概在3000点左右。这意味着目前的点位,市场上一大半的船东已经处于亏损状态。

BDI指数崩盘的原因并不复杂。席卷全球的信贷危机正在大幅削减航运活动,随着贸易融资日益困难,许多发货人取消了与船东的合同。期货市场投机活动的平仓,也加剧了煤炭、铁矿石、小麦等大宗商品干散货航运的问题。近期国内钢铁巨头的联合减产则更是雪上加霜。

油轮市场,2010年可能会有所反弹

油轮市场,未来三年的下行周期只在2010年可能会有所反弹,成品油轮运价下行幅度将略好于原油轮。

悲观的主要原因如下:

(1)根据1973年石油危机经验,全球经济下滑会滞后影响油运需求,因此09年需求堪忧;

(2)2008年运价高于预期直接导致新增了大量船舶订单,将于2010-11年交付;

(3)2008年大量单壳船已经通过改装成散货船退出市场,也就是说受散货市场带动,油运的单壳船行情提前在2008年予以了一定反映。

大连海事大学世界经济研究所刘斌教授根据目前市场行情预测称,全球航运市场的整体情况是呈下降趋势,具体来说,集装箱、干散货、油轮、特种船这四大运输市场中,集装箱和干散货下跌幅度非常大,这种趋势将持续到2010年;油轮市场,因全球原油供应不足,下降幅度不会太大;特种船,下降的幅度也不会太大。 答案补充 10.00附近可以介入。。

什么是运费指数海运运费指数是什么

1、运费指数(也叫运价指数)是说某一种类型的船在考核了全球多个典型航线的运价情况后,通过各个航线所占的权重,计算出的这种船舶的一种指导性的运价综合情况,用指数来表达。

2、海运运费指数是BDI (baltic dry index- BDI index) 也就是国际波罗的海综合运费得简称。

(1)来源

这个指数是由波罗的海航交所发布的。波罗的海航交所是世界第一个也是历史最悠久的航运市场。1744年诞生于美国佛吉尼亚波罗的海咖啡屋,目前是设在英国伦敦的世界著名的航运交易所,全球46个国家的656家公司都是波罗的海航交所的会员。为了满足客户的需要,波罗地海航交所于1985年开始发布日运价指数-BFI,该指数是由若干条传统的干散货船航线的运价,按照各自在航运市场上的重要程度和所占比重构成的综合性指数。1999年,国际波罗的海综合运费指数(BDI)取代了BFI,成为代表国际干散货运输市场走势的晴雨表。

由此可见,该指数是目前世界上衡量国际海运情况的权威指数,是反映国际间贸易情况的领先指数。如果该指数出现显著的上扬,说明各国经济情况良好,国际间的贸易火热。前几年由于中国的经济快速发展也带动了全球经济的复苏,全球对于原材料的需求大大增加,导致了海运的快速繁荣。2003年,BDI指数还只有不到3000点,而到了2004年,该指数就翻了一番,达到了6000点以上,因此,中国和其他国家的贸易以及对于全球初级原材料的需求是导致国际海运价格上涨的主要原因。而该指数上涨的同时我们也确实可以看到海运价格的上涨和目前商品市场上几个大宗原料的价格上涨的曲线是一致的。

(2)分类

国际航运市场采用运价指数来反映运价水平和动态。国际上常用的运价指数是波罗的海交易所发布的运价指数。

分为以下四个:波罗的海好望角型船运价指数(BCI),波罗的海巴拿马型船运价指数(BPI),波罗的海灵便型船运价指数(BHI),波罗的海干散货船期租费率指数(BDI)。

什么是BDI指数?

你好,BDI 就是国际波罗的海综合运费得简称

首先我们要知道这个指数是由波罗的海航交所发布的。波罗的海航交所是世界第一个也是历史最悠久的航运市场。1744年诞生于美国佛吉尼亚波罗的海咖啡屋,目前是设在英国伦敦的世界著名的航运交易所,全球46个国家的656家公司都是波罗的海航交所的会员。为了满足客户的需要,波罗地海航交所于1985年开始发布日运价指数――BFI,该指数是由若干条传统的干散货船航线的运价,按照各自在航运市场上的重要程度和所占比重构成的综合性指数。1999年,国际波罗的海综合运费指数(BDI)取代了BFI,成为代表国际干散货运输市场走势的晴雨表。

由此可见,该指数是目前世界上衡量国际海运情况的权威指数,是反映国际间贸易情况的领先指数。如果该指数出现显著的上扬,说明各国经济情况良好,国际间的贸易火热。前几年由于中国的经济快速发展也带动了全球经济的复苏,全球对于原材料的需求大大增加,导致了海运的快速繁荣。2003年,BDI指数还只有不到3000点,而到了2004年,该指数就翻了一番,达到了6000点以上,因此,中国和其他国家的贸易以及对于全球初级原材料的需求是导致国际海运价格上涨的主要原因。而该指数上涨的同时我们也确实可以看到海运价格的上涨和目前商品市场上几个大宗原料的价格上涨的曲线是一致的。

所以,作为很多期货市场的战略投资者来说,对于该指数的关注程度不言而喻。在今年很多大宗商品价格仍处于高位的时候,BDI却已经暴跌,说明了全球市场对于原材料需求的减弱,经济增长也将回落。当然中国去年以来实行的宏观调控政策是导致中国需求减缓,BDI数值下跌的重要原因。而全球性经济增长放缓也是该指数暴跌的另一个因素。所以,商品市场大宗原材料市场价格全面回落的情况预计将在不久后出现。

本信息不构成任何投资建议,投资者不应以该等信息取代其独立判断或仅根据该等信息作出决策。

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